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About Roman Empire
Potentially boding well for the Macquarie forecast are at least two factors. First, there are signs of turnover increases across a variety of yes/no exchanges. Second, volume surged to start September with those spikes arriving even before the NFL season kicked off.
As Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon points out, prediction markets generated $4.3 billion in taker volume during the first week of September without any help from the NFL, building on momentum from the 2026 World Cup. However, the NFL’s impact was immediate, with taker volume hitting a daily record during Week 1 of the campaign.
With all that in mind, it’s not surprising that Macquarie expects sports event contracts will drive approximately 80% of taker volume this year, but Beynon sees other categories growing over the long term.
How to play Roman Empire
“Standing still was not the responsible choice,” Nally said when the market launched. “Albertans were already gambling. What we’re putting in place is a regulated market that will put player safety and player responsibility first.”
“At the end of the day, this is not about revenue. This is about channelization,” Nally added. “How much of that black market can we channelize into the legal, regulated market?”
According to Nally, approximately 70% of online gambling in Alberta occurred through unregulated operators prior to the July 13 launch, with the remaining 30% flowing through Play Alberta, the province’s sole legal platform at the time.
How to play Roman Empire
The broader takeaway is about production strategy rather than innovation. Spinomenal’s catalog shows a provider that competes largely on breadth and speed, keeping a wide variety of themes live and continually topping them up.
That positioning has clear trade-offs. High-volume, template-driven studios rarely lead the market on standout mechanics. What they do offer is a steady pipeline for operators and a familiar, low-friction experience for players across a large library.
3 Aztec Spells fits neatly into that pattern. It is best read not as a landmark launch but as evidence of a content engine designed to keep Spinomenal’s numbered, theme-clustered families growing.